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Crystal Palace vs Hull

Sat 28 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC · Round 12 · Data confidence: Low (promoted/new team)

Match Result (1X2)

Crystal Palace win: 36.9%

Draw: 24.9%

Hull win: 38.2%

Predicted: Hull

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 52.9%

Total Goals

Under 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 46.6%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.68

More corners: Crystal Palace (50.4% home / 49.6% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Crystal Palace

Yes

Probability Crystal Palace wins or draws: 72.0%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result No strong lean Outcomes are close together -- the model doesn't see a clear favourite. (38.0% model probability) Low

Favorite Avoids Defeat Crystal Palace win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (72.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.